La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Marco Trungelliti v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marco Trungelliti (Local)
Predicción 42.92%2.33momio equitativo
EV +0.859%
Ventaja +0.365%
Kelly +0.636%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.18%43.02%43.08%47.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.222.252.3549.50%45.09%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visitante)
Predicción 57.08%1.75momio equitativo
EV +3.89%
Ventaja +2.14%
Kelly +4.74%
Crecimiento +0.184%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.60%56.98%56.92%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.651.651.8263.29%60.43%60.61%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -13.30%E -6.59%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +3.89%E +2.14%K +4.74%G +0.184% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.25%E -0.722%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| Betsson | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.39%E -1.40%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.02%E -5.86%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 15:28 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.53%E -2.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.53%E -2.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.87%E -3.16%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 15:53 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +0.859%E +0.365%K +0.636%G +0.005% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| GTbets | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 20:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.72%E -2.13%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 13:55 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 13:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Bally Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.96%E -4.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 10:19 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.81%E -6.21%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.81%E -6.21%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |