The School of Odds

Marco Trungelliti v Daniel Merida Aguilar

Matchstart: 2026-04-23 16:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Marco Trungelliti (Hemma)

Prognos 42.92%2.33rättvist odds
EV +0.859%
Fördel +0.365%
Kelly +0.636%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.18%43.02%43.08%47.40%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.022.222.252.3549.50%45.09%44.44%42.55%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Borta)

Prognos 57.08%1.75rättvist odds
EV +3.89%
Fördel +2.14%
Kelly +4.74%
Tillväxt +0.184%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.60%56.98%56.92%58.82%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.581.651.651.8263.29%60.43%60.61%54.95%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -13.30%E -6.59%K -13.04%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +3.89%E +2.14%K +4.74%G +0.184%4.5%2026-04-23 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.25%E -0.722%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:55
Betsson2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
NordicBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.39%E -1.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:30
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 12:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.02%E -5.86%K -11.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:28
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.53%E -2.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 15:55
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.53%E -2.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 15:55
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.87%E -3.16%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:53
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:54
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 15:45
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 15:49
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:55
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:14
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:34
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 12:55
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +0.859%E +0.365%K +0.636%G +0.005%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 15:55
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 15:55
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 20:45
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.72%E -2.13%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:00
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:39
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:55
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:55
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:50
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:54
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 15:55
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.96%E -4.27%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 15:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 10:19
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:55
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:49
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:50
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:35
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:34
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:35
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:49
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:49
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.81%E -6.21%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 15:55
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.81%E -6.21%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 15:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-04-23 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-04-23 15:55
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-04-23 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-04-23 15:45
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%3.0%2026-04-23 15:55