Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Marco Trungelliti v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Marco Trungelliti (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 42.92%2.33kurs godziwy
EV +0.859%
Przewaga +0.365%
Kelly +0.636%
Wzrost +0.005%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.35
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.18%43.02%43.08%47.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.022.222.252.3549.50%45.09%44.44%42.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Goście)
Prognoza 57.08%1.75kurs godziwy
EV +3.89%
Przewaga +2.14%
Kelly +4.74%
Wzrost +0.184%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.82
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.60%56.98%56.92%58.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.581.651.651.8263.29%60.43%60.61%54.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (57 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -13.30%E -6.59%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +3.89%E +2.14%K +4.74%G +0.184% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.25%E -0.722%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| Betsson | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.39%E -1.40%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.02%E -5.86%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 15:28 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.53%E -2.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.53%E -2.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.87%E -3.16%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 15:53 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +0.859%E +0.365%K +0.636%G +0.005% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| GTbets | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 20:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.72%E -2.13%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 13:55 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 13:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Bally Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.96%E -4.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 10:19 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.29%E -0.560%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.81%E -6.21%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.81%E -6.21%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (5)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |