语言:简体中文
Roman Andres Burruchaga v Mattia Bellucci
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Roman Andres Burruchaga (主队)
预测 69.08%1.45公平赔率
EV -1.90%
优势 -1.34%
Kelly -4.53%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.42
博彩公司预测分布
66.51%69.01%69.19%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.381.381.4275.76%72.30%72.46%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
Mattia Bellucci (客队)
预测 30.92%3.23公平赔率
EV +2.03%
优势 +0.614%
Kelly +0.880%
增长率 +0.018%
假设最高赔率为 3.30
博彩公司预测分布
28.57%30.99%30.81%33.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.003.003.3035.71%33.33%33.33%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Roman Andres Burruchaga (主队)：69.08%；Mattia Bellucci (客队)：30.92%。 对于“Mattia Bellucci (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.23。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.30，对应+2.03%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV +2.03%E +0.614%K +0.880%G +0.018% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.81%E -6.67%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +2.03%E +0.614%K +0.880%G +0.018% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 11:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.479%E +0.147%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.479%E +0.147%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.12%E -6.10%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 11:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.43%E -5.54%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -4.78%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -5.39%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.32%E -2.09%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.32%E -2.09%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -6.63%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:06 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 11:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.05%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.95%EV -8.49%E -2.87%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 11:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 11:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 10:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -2.59%E -1.84%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |