Szkoła Kursów

Roman Andres Burruchaga v Mattia Bellucci

Początek: 2026-05-07 12:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

59 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Roman Andres Burruchaga (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 69.08%1.45kurs godziwy
EV -1.90%
Przewaga -1.34%
Kelly -4.53%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.42

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
66.51%69.01%69.19%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.321.381.381.4275.76%72.30%72.46%70.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Mattia Bellucci (Goście)

Prognoza 30.92%3.23kurs godziwy
EV +2.03%
Przewaga +0.614%
Kelly +0.880%
Wzrost +0.018%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.57%30.99%30.81%33.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.803.003.003.3035.71%33.33%33.33%30.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (59 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV +2.03%E +0.614%K +0.880%G +0.018%2.8%2026-05-07 11:55
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.81%E -6.67%K -27.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +2.03%E +0.614%K +0.880%G +0.018%6.1%2026-05-07 11:54
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.479%E +0.147%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-07 11:55
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.479%E +0.147%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-07 11:55
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:10
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.12%E -6.10%K -24.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 11:55
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 11:45
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 11:10
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:55
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:49
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.43%E -5.54%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 11:55
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -4.78%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 11:55
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -5.39%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 11:45
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 11:55
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.32%E -2.09%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.32%E -2.09%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 11:55
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -6.63%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:55
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:55
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:06
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 11:09
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 11:06
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:55
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:50
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.05%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.95%EV -8.49%E -2.87%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 11:45
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 11:54
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 11:55
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 11:55
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 11:55
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 11:55
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 11:55
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 11:09
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 11:55
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 10:59
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -2.59%E -1.84%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 11:07
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 11:07
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-05-07 11:55
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%3.4%2026-05-07 11:55