La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Roman Andres Burruchaga v Mattia Bellucci
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Roman Andres Burruchaga (Casa)
Previsione 69.08%1.45quota equa
EV -1.90%
Vantaggio -1.34%
Kelly -4.53%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.51%69.01%69.19%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.381.381.4275.76%72.30%72.46%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Mattia Bellucci (Trasferta)
Previsione 30.92%3.23quota equa
EV +2.03%
Vantaggio +0.614%
Kelly +0.880%
Crescita +0.018%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.57%30.99%30.81%33.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.003.003.3035.71%33.33%33.33%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV +2.03%E +0.614%K +0.880%G +0.018% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.81%E -6.67%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +2.03%E +0.614%K +0.880%G +0.018% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 11:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.479%E +0.147%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.479%E +0.147%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.12%E -6.10%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 11:10 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| ReBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.43%E -5.54%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -4.78%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -5.39%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.32%E -2.09%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.32%E -2.09%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -6.63%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:06 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 11:06 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.05%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.95%EV -8.49%E -2.87%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 11:54 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 11:09 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Casumo | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| LeoVegas | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| TABtouch | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Grosvenor | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| betPARX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Bally Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 10:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -2.59%E -1.84%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Novig | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |