Die Wettquotenschule

Roman Andres Burruchaga v Mattia Bellucci

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-07 12:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Roman Andres Burruchaga (Heim)

Prognose 69.08%1.45faire Quote
EV -1.90%
Vorteil -1.34%
Kelly -4.53%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.42

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
66.51%69.01%69.19%71.43%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.321.381.381.4275.76%72.30%72.46%70.42%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Mattia Bellucci (Auswärts)

Prognose 30.92%3.23faire Quote
EV +2.03%
Vorteil +0.614%
Kelly +0.880%
Wachstum +0.018%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.57%30.99%30.81%33.49%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.803.003.003.3035.71%33.33%33.33%30.30%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV +2.03%E +0.614%K +0.880%G +0.018%2.8%2026-05-07 11:55
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.81%E -6.67%K -27.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +2.03%E +0.614%K +0.880%G +0.018%6.1%2026-05-07 11:54
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.479%E +0.147%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-07 11:55
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.479%E +0.147%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-07 11:55
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:10
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.12%E -6.10%K -24.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 11:55
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 11:45
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 11:10
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:55
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:49
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.43%E -5.54%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 11:55
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -4.78%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 11:55
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -5.39%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 11:45
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 11:55
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.32%E -2.09%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.32%E -2.09%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 11:55
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -6.63%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:55
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:55
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:06
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 11:09
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 11:06
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:55
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:50
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.05%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.95%EV -8.49%E -2.87%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 11:45
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 11:54
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 11:55
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 11:55
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 11:55
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 11:55
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 11:55
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 11:09
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 11:55
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 10:59
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -2.59%E -1.84%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 11:07
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 11:07
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-05-07 11:55
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%3.4%2026-05-07 11:55