Школа коэффициентов

Roman Andres Burruchaga v Mattia Bellucci

Начало: 2026-05-07 12:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Roman Andres Burruchaga (Хозяева)

Прогноз 69.08%1.45справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.90%
Преимущество -1.34%
Kelly -4.53%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.42

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
66.51%69.01%69.19%71.43%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.321.381.381.4275.76%72.30%72.46%70.42%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Mattia Bellucci (Гости)

Прогноз 30.92%3.23справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.03%
Преимущество +0.614%
Kelly +0.880%
Рост +0.018%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.57%30.99%30.81%33.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.003.003.3035.71%33.33%33.33%30.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV +2.03%E +0.614%K +0.880%G +0.018%2.8%2026-05-07 11:55
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.81%E -6.67%K -27.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +2.03%E +0.614%K +0.880%G +0.018%6.1%2026-05-07 11:54
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.479%E +0.147%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-07 11:55
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.479%E +0.147%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-07 11:55
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:10
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.12%E -6.10%K -24.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 11:55
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 11:45
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 11:10
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:55
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:49
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.43%E -5.54%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 11:55
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -4.78%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 11:55
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -5.39%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 11:45
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 11:55
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.32%E -2.09%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.32%E -2.09%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 11:55
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -6.63%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:55
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:55
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:06
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 11:09
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 11:06
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:55
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:50
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.05%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.95%EV -8.49%E -2.87%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 11:45
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 11:54
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 11:55
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 11:55
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 11:55
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 11:55
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 11:55
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 11:09
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 11:55
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 10:59
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -2.59%E -1.84%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 11:07
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 11:07
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-05-07 11:55
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%3.4%2026-05-07 11:55