La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Roman Andres Burruchaga v Mattia Bellucci
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Roman Andres Burruchaga (Local)
Predicción 69.08%1.45momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -4.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.51%69.01%69.19%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.381.381.4275.76%72.30%72.46%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Mattia Bellucci (Visitante)
Predicción 30.92%3.23momio equitativo
EV +2.03%
Ventaja +0.614%
Kelly +0.880%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.57%30.99%30.81%33.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.003.003.3035.71%33.33%33.33%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV +2.03%E +0.614%K +0.880%G +0.018% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.81%E -6.67%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +2.03%E +0.614%K +0.880%G +0.018% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 11:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.479%E +0.147%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.479%E +0.147%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.12%E -6.10%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 11:10 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| ReBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.43%E -5.54%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -4.78%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -5.39%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.32%E -2.09%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.32%E -2.09%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -6.63%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:06 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 11:06 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.05%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.95%EV -8.49%E -2.87%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 11:54 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 11:09 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Casumo | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| LeoVegas | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| TABtouch | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Grosvenor | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| betPARX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Bally Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 10:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -2.59%E -1.84%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 11:07 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Novig | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |