مدرسة الاحتمالات

Roman Andres Burruchaga v Mattia Bellucci

البداية: 2026-05-07 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Roman Andres Burruchaga (المضيف)

التنبؤ 69.08%1.45السعر العادل
EV -1.90%
الأفضلية -1.34%
Kelly -4.53%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
66.51%69.01%69.19%71.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.321.381.381.4275.76%72.30%72.46%70.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Mattia Bellucci (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.92%3.23السعر العادل
EV +2.03%
الأفضلية +0.614%
Kelly +0.880%
النمو +0.018%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.57%30.99%30.81%33.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.003.003.3035.71%33.33%33.33%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV +2.03%E +0.614%K +0.880%G +0.018%2.8%2026-05-07 11:55
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.81%E -6.67%K -27.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +2.03%E +0.614%K +0.880%G +0.018%6.1%2026-05-07 11:54
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.479%E +0.147%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-07 11:55
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.479%E +0.147%K +0.213%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-07 11:55
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:10
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.12%E -6.10%K -24.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.07%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 11:55
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 11:45
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 11:10
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:55
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:49
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.43%E -5.54%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 11:55
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -4.78%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 11:55
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -5.39%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 11:45
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 11:55
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.32%E -2.09%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.32%E -2.09%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 11:55
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -6.63%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:55
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:55
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:55
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:06
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.36%E -3.91%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 11:09
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 11:06
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:55
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:50
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.05%EV -3.97%E -2.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.95%EV -8.49%E -2.87%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 11:45
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.74%E -4.99%K -19.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 11:54
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 11:55
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 11:55
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 11:55
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 11:55
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 11:55
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.67%E -3.38%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 11:09
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 11:55
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -1.90%E -1.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:07
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.05%E -4.45%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 10:59
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -2.59%E -1.84%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 11:07
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 11:07
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.28%E -2.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 11:07
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-07 11:55
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-05-07 11:55
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%3.4%2026-05-07 11:55