Язык:Русский
Nuno Borges v Rafael Jodar
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Nuno Borges (Хозяева)
Прогноз 21.97%4.55справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.36%
Преимущество +0.917%
Kelly +1.16%
Рост +0.051%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.90%22.00%21.98%24.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.804.224.204.7526.32%23.70%23.81%21.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Rafael Jodar (Гости)
Прогноз 78.03%1.28справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.122%
Преимущество -0.095%
Kelly -0.435%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.28
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
75.25%78.00%78.02%80.10%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.171.221.221.2885.47%81.82%81.97%78.13%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Nuno Borges (Хозяева): 21.97%; Rafael Jodar (Гости): 78.03%. Для исхода «Nuno Borges (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.55. 6 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.75, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.36%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (61 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +4.36%E +0.917%K +1.16%G +0.051% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 08:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +4.36%E +0.917%K +1.16%G +0.051% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.92%E -6.72%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%EV +3.26%E +0.693%K +0.881%G +0.029% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.58%EV +1.72%E +0.372%K +0.474%G +0.008% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +0.623%E +0.136%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +0.623%E +0.136%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-08 08:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.43%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.87%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.92%E -6.72%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%EV -0.122%E -0.095%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-08 02:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 06:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 19:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.46%E -1.97%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 20:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 08:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 06:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 06:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -4.00%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.51%E -4.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.46%E -1.97%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 09:59 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Novig◎ | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |