Die Wettquotenschule

Nuno Borges v Rafael Jodar

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-08 09:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Nuno Borges (Heim)

Prognose 21.97%4.55faire Quote
EV +4.36%
Vorteil +0.917%
Kelly +1.16%
Wachstum +0.051%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.90%22.00%21.98%24.75%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.804.224.204.7526.32%23.70%23.81%21.05%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Rafael Jodar (Auswärts)

Prognose 78.03%1.28faire Quote
EV -0.122%
Vorteil -0.095%
Kelly -0.435%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.28

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
75.25%78.00%78.02%80.10%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.171.221.221.2885.47%81.82%81.97%78.13%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +4.36%E +0.917%K +1.16%G +0.051%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 08:54
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +4.36%E +0.917%K +1.16%G +0.051%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.92%E -6.72%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:55
Pinnacle4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%EV +3.26%E +0.693%K +0.881%G +0.029%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-08 08:55
DraftKings4.63I 21.60%NM 20.58%EV +1.72%E +0.372%K +0.474%G +0.008%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 08:45
LowVig.ag4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +0.623%E +0.136%K +0.174%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:35
BetOnline.ag4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +0.623%E +0.136%K +0.174%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:35
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-08 08:04
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-08 08:05
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 08:05
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 08:55
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 08:55
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 08:45
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.43%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 08:05
1xBet4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 08:45
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.87%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 08:05
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
ReBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Unibet (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Betsson4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
NordicBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:05
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 08:55
Everygame4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.92%E -6.72%K -44.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 08:05
GTbets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%EV -0.122%E -0.095%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-08 02:55
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:09
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:25
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 06:10
PointsBet (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 08:05
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 19:50
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.46%E -1.97%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:20
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 20:05
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 08:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:50
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:49
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:50
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 08:40
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 06:15
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 06:19
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 06:20
Unibet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -4.00%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 08:45
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.51%E -4.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.46%E -1.97%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 09:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-05-08 08:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-05-08 08:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-05-08 08:45
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-05-08 08:45
Novig4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%2.6%2026-05-08 08:50
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%3.7%2026-05-08 08:45