L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Nuno Borges v Rafael Jodar
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nuno Borges (Local)
Prévision 21.97%4.55cote équitable
EV +4.36%
Avantage +0.917%
Kelly +1.16%
Croissance +0.051%
avec la cote maximale 4.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.90%22.00%21.98%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.224.204.7526.32%23.70%23.81%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Rafael Jodar (Visiteur)
Prévision 78.03%1.28cote équitable
EV -0.122%
Avantage -0.095%
Kelly -0.435%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.25%78.00%78.02%80.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.221.221.2885.47%81.82%81.97%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +4.36%E +0.917%K +1.16%G +0.051% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 08:54 |
| SportsBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +4.36%E +0.917%K +1.16%G +0.051% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.92%E -6.72%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Pinnacle | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%EV +3.26%E +0.693%K +0.881%G +0.029% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| DraftKings | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.58%EV +1.72%E +0.372%K +0.474%G +0.008% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +0.623%E +0.136%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +0.623%E +0.136%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:35 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-08 08:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Fanatics | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.43%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| 1xBet | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.87%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Bet Right | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| ReBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Betsson | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| NordicBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Everygame | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.92%E -6.72%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| GTbets | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%EV -0.122%E -0.095%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-08 02:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:09 |
| PlayUp | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:14 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| BetRivers | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:14 |
| Unibet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:14 |
| TABtouch | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| Bally Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:14 |
| betPARX | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| theScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 06:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| BetMGM | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 19:50 |
| BetUS | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.46%E -1.97%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 20:05 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:50 |
| Neds | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:49 |
| Coral | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:50 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 08:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 06:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 06:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -4.00%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.51%E -4.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.46%E -1.97%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 09:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Matchbook | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Novig | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Smarkets | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |