La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Nuno Borges v Rafael Jodar
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Nuno Borges (Casa)
Previsione 21.97%4.55quota equa
EV +4.36%
Vantaggio +0.917%
Kelly +1.16%
Crescita +0.051%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.90%22.00%21.98%24.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.224.204.7526.32%23.70%23.81%21.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Rafael Jodar (Trasferta)
Previsione 78.03%1.28quota equa
EV -0.122%
Vantaggio -0.095%
Kelly -0.435%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.25%78.00%78.02%80.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.171.221.221.2885.47%81.82%81.97%78.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +4.36%E +0.917%K +1.16%G +0.051% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 08:54 |
| SportsBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +4.36%E +0.917%K +1.16%G +0.051% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.92%E -6.72%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Pinnacle | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%EV +3.26%E +0.693%K +0.881%G +0.029% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| DraftKings | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.58%EV +1.72%E +0.372%K +0.474%G +0.008% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +0.623%E +0.136%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +0.623%E +0.136%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:35 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-08 08:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Fanatics | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.43%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| 1xBet | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.87%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Bet Right | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| ReBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Betsson | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| NordicBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Everygame | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.92%E -6.72%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| GTbets | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%EV -0.122%E -0.095%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-08 02:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:09 |
| PlayUp | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:14 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| BetRivers | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:14 |
| Unibet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:14 |
| TABtouch | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| Bally Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:14 |
| betPARX | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| theScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 06:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| BetMGM | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 19:50 |
| BetUS | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.46%E -1.97%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 06:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 20:05 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:50 |
| Neds | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:49 |
| Coral | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:50 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 08:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 06:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 06:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 06:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -4.00%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.51%E -4.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.46%E -1.97%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 09:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Matchbook | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Novig | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Smarkets | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |