StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Nuno Borges v Rafael Jodar

Aanvang: 2026-05-08 09:00 UTC

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

61 wedaanbieders (23 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Nuno Borges (Thuis)

Prognose 21.97%4.55margevrije odds
EV +4.36%
Voordeel +0.917%
Kelly +1.16%
Groei +0.051%

bij maximale odds 4.75

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
19.90%22.00%21.98%24.75%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.804.224.204.7526.32%23.70%23.81%21.05%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Rafael Jodar (Uit)

Prognose 78.03%1.28margevrije odds
EV -0.122%
Voordeel -0.095%
Kelly -0.435%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.28

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
75.25%78.00%78.02%80.10%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.171.221.221.2885.47%81.82%81.97%78.13%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Nuno Borges (Thuis): 21.97%; Rafael Jodar (Uit): 78.03%. Voor Nuno Borges (Thuis) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 4.55. 6 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 4.75, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +4.36%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (61 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitMargeBijgewerkt
FanDuel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +4.36%E +0.917%K +1.16%G +0.051%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 08:54
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +4.36%E +0.917%K +1.16%G +0.051%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.92%E -6.72%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:55
Pinnacle🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%EV +3.26%E +0.693%K +0.881%G +0.029%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-08 08:55
DraftKings🎯4.63I 21.60%NM 20.58%EV +1.72%E +0.372%K +0.474%G +0.008%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 08:45
LowVig.ag🎯4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +0.623%E +0.136%K +0.174%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +0.623%E +0.136%K +0.174%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:35
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-08 08:04
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-08 08:05
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 08:05
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 08:55
Marathon Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Fanatics🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.43%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 08:05
1xBet🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 08:45
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.87%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 08:05
Bet Right🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
ReBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Betsson🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
NordicBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:05
NetBet (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 08:55
Everygame🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.92%E -6.72%K -44.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 08:05
GTbets🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%EV -0.122%E -0.095%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-08 02:55
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:09
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
Bally Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
theScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 06:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 08:05
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 19:50
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.46%E -1.97%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 20:05
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 08:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:50
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:49
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:50
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 06:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 06:19
LiveScore Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 06:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -4.00%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 08:45
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.51%E -4.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.46%E -1.97%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 09:59
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (6)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-05-08 08:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-05-08 08:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-05-08 08:45
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-05-08 08:45
Novig4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%2.6%2026-05-08 08:50
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%3.7%2026-05-08 08:45