مدرسة الاحتمالات

Nuno Borges v Rafael Jodar

البداية: 2026-05-08 09:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Nuno Borges (المضيف)

التنبؤ 21.97%4.55السعر العادل
EV +4.36%
الأفضلية +0.917%
Kelly +1.16%
النمو +0.051%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.90%22.00%21.98%24.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.224.204.7526.32%23.70%23.81%21.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Rafael Jodar (الضيف)

التنبؤ 78.03%1.28السعر العادل
EV -0.122%
الأفضلية -0.095%
Kelly -0.435%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
75.25%78.00%78.02%80.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.171.221.221.2885.47%81.82%81.97%78.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +4.36%E +0.917%K +1.16%G +0.051%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 08:54
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +4.36%E +0.917%K +1.16%G +0.051%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.92%E -6.72%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:55
Pinnacle4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%EV +3.26%E +0.693%K +0.881%G +0.029%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-08 08:55
DraftKings4.63I 21.60%NM 20.58%EV +1.72%E +0.372%K +0.474%G +0.008%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 08:45
LowVig.ag4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +0.623%E +0.136%K +0.174%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:35
BetOnline.ag4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +0.623%E +0.136%K +0.174%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:35
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-08 08:04
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-08 08:05
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 08:05
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 08:55
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 08:55
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 08:45
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.43%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 08:05
1xBet4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 08:45
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.87%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 08:05
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
ReBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Unibet (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Betsson4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
NordicBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:05
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 08:55
Everygame4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.92%E -6.72%K -44.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 08:05
GTbets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%EV -0.122%E -0.095%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-08 02:55
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:09
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:25
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 06:10
PointsBet (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 08:05
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 19:50
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.46%E -1.97%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:20
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 20:05
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 08:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:50
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:49
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:50
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 08:40
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 06:15
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 06:19
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 06:20
Unibet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -4.00%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 08:45
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.51%E -4.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.46%E -1.97%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 09:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-05-08 08:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-05-08 08:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-05-08 08:45
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-05-08 08:45
Novig4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%2.6%2026-05-08 08:50
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%3.7%2026-05-08 08:45