Szkoła Kursów

Nuno Borges v Rafael Jodar

Początek: 2026-05-08 09:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Nuno Borges (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 21.97%4.55kurs godziwy
EV +4.36%
Przewaga +0.917%
Kelly +1.16%
Wzrost +0.051%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.90%22.00%21.98%24.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.804.224.204.7526.32%23.70%23.81%21.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Rafael Jodar (Goście)

Prognoza 78.03%1.28kurs godziwy
EV -0.122%
Przewaga -0.095%
Kelly -0.435%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.28

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
75.25%78.00%78.02%80.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.171.221.221.2885.47%81.82%81.97%78.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +4.36%E +0.917%K +1.16%G +0.051%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 08:54
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +4.36%E +0.917%K +1.16%G +0.051%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.92%E -6.72%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:55
Pinnacle4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%EV +3.26%E +0.693%K +0.881%G +0.029%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-08 08:55
DraftKings4.63I 21.60%NM 20.58%EV +1.72%E +0.372%K +0.474%G +0.008%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 08:45
LowVig.ag4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +0.623%E +0.136%K +0.174%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:35
BetOnline.ag4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +0.623%E +0.136%K +0.174%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:35
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-08 08:04
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-08 08:05
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 08:05
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.13%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 08:55
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 08:55
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 08:45
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.33%E -0.757%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.43%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 08:05
1xBet4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 08:45
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.87%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 08:05
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
ReBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Unibet (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Betsson4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
NordicBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:05
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 08:05
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 08:55
Everygame4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.92%E -6.72%K -44.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 08:05
GTbets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%EV -0.122%E -0.095%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-08 02:55
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:09
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:25
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:05
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:14
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:15
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 06:10
PointsBet (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 08:05
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 19:50
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.46%E -1.97%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:20
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.24%E -2.62%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 20:05
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 08:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:50
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:49
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:50
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 08:40
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 06:15
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 06:19
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 06:20
Unibet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -4.00%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 08:45
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.51%E -4.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.46%E -1.97%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 09:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-05-08 08:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-05-08 08:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-05-08 08:45
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-05-08 08:45
Novig4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%2.6%2026-05-08 08:50
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%3.7%2026-05-08 08:45