Language:English
Novak Djokovic v Kamil Majchrzak
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Novak Djokovic (Local)
Prediction 86.70%1.15fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -24.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.39%86.64%86.53%88.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.101.101.1295.24%91.05%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kamil Majchrzak (Visit)
Prediction 13.30%7.52fair odd
EV +9.59%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.127%
assuming max odds 8.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.73%13.36%13.47%15.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.937.008.2416.67%14.43%14.29%12.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Novak Djokovic (Local): 86.70%; Kamil Majchrzak (Visit): 13.30%. For Kamil Majchrzak (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.52. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.13%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 8.24I 12.14%NM 11.87%EV +9.59%E +1.16%K +1.32%G +0.127% | 2.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +9.06%E +1.10%K +1.26%G +0.114% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +7.73%E +0.954%K +1.09%G +0.084% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.40%E +0.800%K +0.914%G +0.059% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.97%E -8.54%K -179.30%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +3.74%E +0.480%K +0.550%G +0.021% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.38%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV +0.415%E +0.055%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 21:46 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -3.57%E -0.493%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.24%E -0.589%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 21:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -8.10%E -7.64%K -134.97%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -4.90%E -0.686%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -6.50%E -0.925%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -9.56%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.22%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.22%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -12.35%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -12.35%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -16.21%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -16.87%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 21:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76% | 2.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |