Język:Polski
Novak Djokovic v Kamil Majchrzak
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Novak Djokovic (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 86.70%1.15kurs godziwy
EV -2.90%
Przewaga -2.59%
Kelly -24.13%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.12
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
84.39%86.64%86.53%88.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.051.101.101.1295.24%91.05%90.91%89.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kamil Majchrzak (Goście)
Prognoza 13.30%7.52kurs godziwy
EV +9.59%
Przewaga +1.16%
Kelly +1.32%
Wzrost +0.127%
przy maksymalnym kursie 8.24
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
11.73%13.36%13.47%15.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
6.006.937.008.2416.67%14.43%14.29%12.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Novak Djokovic (Gospodarze): 86.70%; Kamil Majchrzak (Goście): 13.30%. Dla wyniku Kamil Majchrzak (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 7.52. 9 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 8.24, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +9.59%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.13%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 8.24I 12.14%NM 11.87%EV +9.59%E +1.16%K +1.32%G +0.127% | 2.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +9.06%E +1.10%K +1.26%G +0.114% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +7.73%E +0.954%K +1.09%G +0.084% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.40%E +0.800%K +0.914%G +0.059% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.97%E -8.54%K -179.30%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +3.74%E +0.480%K +0.550%G +0.021% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.38%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV +0.415%E +0.055%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 21:46 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -3.57%E -0.493%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.24%E -0.589%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 21:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -8.10%E -7.64%K -134.97%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -4.90%E -0.686%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -6.50%E -0.925%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -9.56%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.22%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.22%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -12.35%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -12.35%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -16.21%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -16.87%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 21:45 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76% | 2.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |