مدرسة الاحتمالات

Novak Djokovic v Kamil Majchrzak

البداية: 2026-03-07 21:55 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Novak Djokovic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 86.70%1.15السعر العادل
EV -2.90%
الأفضلية -2.59%
Kelly -24.13%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
84.39%86.64%86.53%88.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.051.101.101.1295.24%91.05%90.91%89.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Kamil Majchrzak (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.30%7.52السعر العادل
EV +9.59%
الأفضلية +1.16%
Kelly +1.32%
النمو +0.127%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.24

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.73%13.36%13.47%15.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.006.937.008.2416.67%14.43%14.29%12.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 88.13%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000%8.24I 12.14%NM 11.87%EV +9.59%E +1.16%K +1.32%G +0.127%2.2%2026-03-07 21:49
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +9.06%E +1.10%K +1.26%G +0.114%3.9%2026-03-07 21:49
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +7.73%E +0.954%K +1.09%G +0.084%4.1%2026-03-07 21:50
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.40%E +0.800%K +0.914%G +0.059%5.1%2026-03-07 21:49
Tipico (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.97%E -8.54%K -179.30%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +3.74%E +0.480%K +0.550%G +0.021%8.1%2026-03-07 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014%3.8%2026-03-07 21:50
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014%4.6%2026-03-07 21:38
SportsBet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014%6.4%2026-03-07 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.38%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV +0.415%E +0.055%K +0.063%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:46
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:49
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 21:50
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 21:47
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -3.57%E -0.493%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 21:49
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.24%E -0.589%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 21:35
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -8.10%E -7.64%K -134.97%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -4.90%E -0.686%K -0.797%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 21:50
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -6.50%E -0.925%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:44
Bet Right1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:47
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:49
Betr (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:47
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:48
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:50
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:49
Coral1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:49
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 21:50
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 21:49
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 21:47
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 21:47
Codere (IT)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -9.56%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 21:40
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.22%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:49
BetMGM1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.22%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 21:49
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -12.35%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -12.35%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -16.21%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 21:50
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -16.87%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:50
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 21:49
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 21:49
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 21:49
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-03-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-03-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-03-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-03-07 21:49
Novig1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76%2.1%2026-03-07 21:50
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%3.4%2026-03-07 21:50