A Escola das Odds

Novak Djokovic v Kamil Majchrzak

Início: 2026-03-07 21:55 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Novak Djokovic (Local)

Previsão 86.70%1.15odd justa
EV -2.90%
Vantagem -2.59%
Kelly -24.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
84.39%86.64%86.53%88.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.051.101.101.1295.24%91.05%90.91%89.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kamil Majchrzak (Visitante)

Previsão 13.30%7.52odd justa
EV +9.59%
Vantagem +1.16%
Kelly +1.32%
Crescimento +0.127%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.73%13.36%13.47%15.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.006.937.008.2416.67%14.43%14.29%12.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 88.13%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000%8.24I 12.14%NM 11.87%EV +9.59%E +1.16%K +1.32%G +0.127%2.2%2026-03-07 21:49
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +9.06%E +1.10%K +1.26%G +0.114%3.9%2026-03-07 21:49
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +7.73%E +0.954%K +1.09%G +0.084%4.1%2026-03-07 21:50
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.40%E +0.800%K +0.914%G +0.059%5.1%2026-03-07 21:49
Tipico (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.97%E -8.54%K -179.30%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +3.74%E +0.480%K +0.550%G +0.021%8.1%2026-03-07 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014%3.8%2026-03-07 21:50
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014%4.6%2026-03-07 21:38
SportsBet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014%6.4%2026-03-07 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.38%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV +0.415%E +0.055%K +0.063%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:46
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:49
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 21:50
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 21:47
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -3.57%E -0.493%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 21:49
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.24%E -0.589%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 21:35
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -8.10%E -7.64%K -134.97%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -4.90%E -0.686%K -0.797%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 21:50
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -6.50%E -0.925%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:44
Bet Right1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:47
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:49
Betr (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:47
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:48
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:50
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:49
Coral1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:49
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 21:50
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 21:49
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 21:47
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 21:47
Codere (IT)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -9.56%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 21:40
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.22%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:49
BetMGM1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.22%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 21:49
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -12.35%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -12.35%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -16.21%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 21:50
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -16.87%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:50
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 21:49
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 21:49
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 21:49
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-03-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-03-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-03-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-03-07 21:49
Novig1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76%2.1%2026-03-07 21:50
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%3.4%2026-03-07 21:50