L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Novak Djokovic v Kamil Majchrzak
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Novak Djokovic (Local)
Prévision 86.70%1.15cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -2.59%
Kelly -24.13%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.39%86.64%86.53%88.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.101.101.1295.24%91.05%90.91%89.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Kamil Majchrzak (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.30%7.52cote équitable
EV +9.59%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.32%
Croissance +0.127%
avec la cote maximale 8.24
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.73%13.36%13.47%15.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.937.008.2416.67%14.43%14.29%12.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.13%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 8.24I 12.14%NM 11.87%EV +9.59%E +1.16%K +1.32%G +0.127% | 2.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +9.06%E +1.10%K +1.26%G +0.114% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +7.73%E +0.954%K +1.09%G +0.084% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.40%E +0.800%K +0.914%G +0.059% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.97%E -8.54%K -179.30%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +3.74%E +0.480%K +0.550%G +0.021% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:38 |
| SportsBet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.38%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV +0.415%E +0.055%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 21:46 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| William Hill | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -3.57%E -0.493%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| GTbets | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.24%E -0.589%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 21:35 |
| Fliff | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -8.10%E -7.64%K -134.97%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -4.90%E -0.686%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -6.50%E -0.925%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Betway | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:48 |
| NordicBet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betsson | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Coral | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Neds | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -9.56%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.22%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.22%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -12.35%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -12.35%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Casumo | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| betPARX | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -16.21%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -16.87%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| TAB | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Caesars | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 21:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Novig | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76% | 2.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |