La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Novak Djokovic v Kamil Majchrzak
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Novak Djokovic (Local)
Predicción 86.70%1.15momio equitativo
EV -2.90%
Ventaja -2.59%
Kelly -24.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.39%86.64%86.53%88.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.051.101.101.1295.24%91.05%90.91%89.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kamil Majchrzak (Visitante)
Predicción 13.30%7.52momio equitativo
EV +9.59%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.32%
Crecimiento +0.127%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.73%13.36%13.47%15.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.937.008.2416.67%14.43%14.29%12.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.13%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 8.24I 12.14%NM 11.87%EV +9.59%E +1.16%K +1.32%G +0.127% | 2.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +9.06%E +1.10%K +1.26%G +0.114% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +7.73%E +0.954%K +1.09%G +0.084% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.40%E +0.800%K +0.914%G +0.059% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.97%E -8.54%K -179.30%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +3.74%E +0.480%K +0.550%G +0.021% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:38 |
| SportsBet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.38%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV +0.415%E +0.055%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 21:46 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| William Hill | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -3.57%E -0.493%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| GTbets | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.24%E -0.589%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 21:35 |
| Fliff | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -8.10%E -7.64%K -134.97%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -4.90%E -0.686%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -6.50%E -0.925%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Betway | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:48 |
| NordicBet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betsson | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Coral | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Neds | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -9.56%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.22%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.22%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -12.35%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -12.35%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Casumo | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| betPARX | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -16.21%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -16.87%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| TAB | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Caesars | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 21:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Novig | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76% | 2.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |