La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Novak Djokovic v Kamil Majchrzak
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Novak Djokovic (Casa)
Previsione 86.70%1.15quota equa
EV -2.90%
Vantaggio -2.59%
Kelly -24.13%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.12
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
84.39%86.64%86.53%88.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.051.101.101.1295.24%91.05%90.91%89.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Kamil Majchrzak (Trasferta)
Previsione 13.30%7.52quota equa
EV +9.59%
Vantaggio +1.16%
Kelly +1.32%
Crescita +0.127%
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.24
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.73%13.36%13.47%15.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.006.937.008.2416.67%14.43%14.29%12.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.13%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 8.24I 12.14%NM 11.87%EV +9.59%E +1.16%K +1.32%G +0.127% | 2.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +9.06%E +1.10%K +1.26%G +0.114% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +7.73%E +0.954%K +1.09%G +0.084% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.40%E +0.800%K +0.914%G +0.059% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.97%E -8.54%K -179.30%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +3.74%E +0.480%K +0.550%G +0.021% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:38 |
| SportsBet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.38%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV +0.415%E +0.055%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 21:46 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| William Hill | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -3.57%E -0.493%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| GTbets | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.24%E -0.589%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 21:35 |
| Fliff | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -8.10%E -7.64%K -134.97%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -4.90%E -0.686%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -6.50%E -0.925%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Betway | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:48 |
| NordicBet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betsson | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Coral | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Neds | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -9.56%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.22%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.22%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -12.35%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -12.35%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Casumo | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| betPARX | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -16.21%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -16.87%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| TAB | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Caesars | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 21:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Novig | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76% | 2.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |