The School of Odds

Novak Djokovic v Kamil Majchrzak

Matchstart: 2026-03-07 21:55 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Novak Djokovic (Hemma)

Prognos 86.70%1.15rättvist odds
EV -2.90%
Fördel -2.59%
Kelly -24.13%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.12

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
84.39%86.64%86.53%88.27%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.051.101.101.1295.24%91.05%90.91%89.29%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Kamil Majchrzak (Borta)

Prognos 13.30%7.52rättvist odds
EV +9.59%
Fördel +1.16%
Kelly +1.32%
Tillväxt +0.127%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.24

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.73%13.36%13.47%15.61%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
6.006.937.008.2416.67%14.43%14.29%12.14%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 88.13%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000%8.24I 12.14%NM 11.87%EV +9.59%E +1.16%K +1.32%G +0.127%2.2%2026-03-07 21:49
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +9.06%E +1.10%K +1.26%G +0.114%3.9%2026-03-07 21:49
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +7.73%E +0.954%K +1.09%G +0.084%4.1%2026-03-07 21:50
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.40%E +0.800%K +0.914%G +0.059%5.1%2026-03-07 21:49
Tipico (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.97%E -8.54%K -179.30%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +3.74%E +0.480%K +0.550%G +0.021%8.1%2026-03-07 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014%3.8%2026-03-07 21:50
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014%4.6%2026-03-07 21:38
SportsBet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV +3.08%E +0.397%K +0.456%G +0.014%6.4%2026-03-07 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.38%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV +0.415%E +0.055%K +0.063%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:46
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:49
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 21:50
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.250%E -0.033%K -0.038%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 21:47
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -3.57%E -0.493%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 21:49
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.24%E -0.589%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 21:35
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -8.10%E -7.64%K -134.97%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -4.90%E -0.686%K -0.797%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 21:50
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -6.50%E -0.925%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:44
Bet Right1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:47
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:49
Betr (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:47
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:48
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:50
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:49
Coral1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:49
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 21:50
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 21:49
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 21:47
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.23%E -6.76%K -103.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -6.90%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 21:47
Codere (IT)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -9.56%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 21:40
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.22%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:49
BetMGM1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.50%E -5.04%K -61.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.22%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 21:49
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -12.35%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -12.35%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.90%E -2.59%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.55%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -6.36%E -5.89%K -79.55%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -16.21%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 21:50
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -16.87%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:50
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 21:49
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 21:49
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.76%E -3.39%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 21:49
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.63%E -4.21%K -46.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.20%E -3.37%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-03-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-03-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-03-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-03-07 21:49
Novig1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76%2.1%2026-03-07 21:50
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%3.4%2026-03-07 21:50