The School of Odds

Joao Fonseca v Raphael Collignon

Matchstart: 2026-03-05 04:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Joao Fonseca (Hemma)

Prognos 56.84%1.76rättvist odds
EV +0.606%
Fördel +0.342%
Kelly +0.787%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.77

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.05%56.52%56.99%58.23%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.601.691.681.7762.50%59.30%59.52%56.50%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Raphael Collignon (Borta)

Prognos 43.16%2.32rättvist odds
EV -0.299%
Fördel -0.129%
Kelly -0.228%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.31

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.77%43.48%43.01%46.95%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.002.142.132.3150.00%46.66%46.84%43.29%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +0.606%E +0.342%K +0.787%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 02:53
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV +0.037%E +0.021%K +0.049%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 02:30
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.531%E -0.303%K -0.708%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 02:55
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 02:10
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 02:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 02:10
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 02:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:55
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:55
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 02:55
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:45
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:44
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-05 02:44
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:40
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 02:52
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 02:10
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 02:45
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 02:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:10
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:10
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.299%E -0.129%K -0.228%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-05 02:50
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 02:55
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -11.09%E -5.38%K -10.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 02:45
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 02:45
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 02:50
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 02:50
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.62%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 02:55
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:39
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:40
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:54
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 02:54
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 02:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -11.95%E -5.86%K -11.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 02:45
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:55
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:40
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 02:48
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -2.46%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 02:50
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 02:45
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:40
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:45
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:54
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:55
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:55
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:55
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 02:55
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.34%E -2.92%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 02:50
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 02:40
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:51
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 02:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-03-05 02:55
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-03-05 02:55
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-03-05 02:55