Szkoła Kursów

Joao Fonseca v Raphael Collignon

Początek: 2026-03-05 04:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Joao Fonseca (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 56.84%1.76kurs godziwy
EV +0.606%
Przewaga +0.342%
Kelly +0.787%
Wzrost +0.005%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.77

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
53.05%56.52%56.99%58.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.601.691.681.7762.50%59.30%59.52%56.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Raphael Collignon (Goście)

Prognoza 43.16%2.32kurs godziwy
EV -0.299%
Przewaga -0.129%
Kelly -0.228%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.31

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.77%43.48%43.01%46.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.142.132.3150.00%46.66%46.84%43.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +0.606%E +0.342%K +0.787%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 02:53
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV +0.037%E +0.021%K +0.049%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 02:30
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.531%E -0.303%K -0.708%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 02:55
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 02:10
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 02:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 02:10
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 02:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:55
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:55
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 02:55
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:45
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:44
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-05 02:44
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:40
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 02:52
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 02:10
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 02:45
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 02:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:10
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:10
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.299%E -0.129%K -0.228%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-05 02:50
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 02:55
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -11.09%E -5.38%K -10.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 02:45
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 02:45
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 02:50
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 02:50
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.62%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 02:55
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:39
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:40
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:54
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 02:54
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 02:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -11.95%E -5.86%K -11.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 02:45
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:55
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:40
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 02:48
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -2.46%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 02:50
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 02:45
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:40
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:45
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:54
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:55
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:55
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:55
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 02:55
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.34%E -2.92%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 02:50
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 02:40
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:51
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 02:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-03-05 02:55
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-03-05 02:55
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-03-05 02:55