La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Joao Fonseca v Raphael Collignon
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Predicción 56.84%1.76momio equitativo
EV +0.606%
Ventaja +0.342%
Kelly +0.787%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%56.52%56.99%58.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.691.681.7762.50%59.30%59.52%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Raphael Collignon (Visitante)
Predicción 43.16%2.32momio equitativo
EV -0.299%
Ventaja -0.129%
Kelly -0.228%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.77%43.48%43.01%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.132.3150.00%46.66%46.84%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +0.606%E +0.342%K +0.787%G +0.005% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 02:53 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV +0.037%E +0.021%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.531%E -0.303%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Unibet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 02:52 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.299%E -0.129%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -11.09%E -5.38%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.62%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 02:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 02:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -11.95%E -5.86%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 02:48 |
| GTbets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -2.46%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.34%E -2.92%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 02:51 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.6% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |