مدرسة الاحتمالات

Joao Fonseca v Raphael Collignon

البداية: 2026-03-05 04:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Joao Fonseca (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.84%1.76السعر العادل
EV +0.606%
الأفضلية +0.342%
Kelly +0.787%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.05%56.52%56.99%58.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.691.681.7762.50%59.30%59.52%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Raphael Collignon (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.16%2.32السعر العادل
EV -0.299%
الأفضلية -0.129%
Kelly -0.228%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.77%43.48%43.01%46.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.142.132.3150.00%46.66%46.84%43.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +0.606%E +0.342%K +0.787%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 02:53
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV +0.037%E +0.021%K +0.049%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 02:30
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.531%E -0.303%K -0.708%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 02:55
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 02:10
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 02:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 02:10
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 02:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:55
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:55
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 02:55
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:45
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:44
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-05 02:44
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:40
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 02:52
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 02:10
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 02:45
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 02:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:10
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:10
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.299%E -0.129%K -0.228%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-05 02:50
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 02:55
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -11.09%E -5.38%K -10.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 02:45
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 02:45
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 02:50
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 02:50
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.62%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 02:55
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:39
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:40
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:54
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 02:54
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 02:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -11.95%E -5.86%K -11.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 02:45
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:55
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:40
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 02:48
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -2.46%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 02:50
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 02:45
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:40
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:45
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:54
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:55
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:55
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:55
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 02:55
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.34%E -2.92%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 02:50
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 02:40
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:51
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 02:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-03-05 02:55
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-03-05 02:55
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-03-05 02:55