Die Wettquotenschule

Joao Fonseca v Raphael Collignon

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-05 04:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Joao Fonseca (Heim)

Prognose 56.84%1.76faire Quote
EV +0.606%
Vorteil +0.342%
Kelly +0.787%
Wachstum +0.005%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.77

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.05%56.52%56.99%58.23%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.601.691.681.7762.50%59.30%59.52%56.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Raphael Collignon (Auswärts)

Prognose 43.16%2.32faire Quote
EV -0.299%
Vorteil -0.129%
Kelly -0.228%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.31

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.77%43.48%43.01%46.95%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.002.142.132.3150.00%46.66%46.84%43.29%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +0.606%E +0.342%K +0.787%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 02:53
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV +0.037%E +0.021%K +0.049%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 02:30
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.531%E -0.303%K -0.708%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 02:55
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 02:10
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 02:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 02:10
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 02:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:55
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:55
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 02:55
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:45
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:44
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-05 02:44
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:40
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 02:52
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 02:10
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 02:45
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 02:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:10
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:10
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.299%E -0.129%K -0.228%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-05 02:50
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 02:55
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -11.09%E -5.38%K -10.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 02:45
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 02:45
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 02:50
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 02:50
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.62%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 02:55
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:39
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:40
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:54
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 02:54
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 02:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -11.95%E -5.86%K -11.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 02:45
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:55
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:40
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 02:48
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -2.46%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 02:50
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 02:45
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:40
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:45
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:54
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:55
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:55
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:55
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 02:55
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.34%E -2.92%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 02:50
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 02:40
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:51
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 02:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-03-05 02:55
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-03-05 02:55
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-03-05 02:55