L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Joao Fonseca v Raphael Collignon
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Prévision 56.84%1.76cote équitable
EV +0.606%
Avantage +0.342%
Kelly +0.787%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 1.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.05%56.52%56.99%58.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.691.681.7762.50%59.30%59.52%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Raphael Collignon (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.16%2.32cote équitable
EV -0.299%
Avantage -0.129%
Kelly -0.228%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.77%43.48%43.01%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.132.3150.00%46.66%46.84%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +0.606%E +0.342%K +0.787%G +0.005% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 02:53 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV +0.037%E +0.021%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.531%E -0.303%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Unibet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 02:52 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.299%E -0.129%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -11.09%E -5.38%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.62%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 02:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 02:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -11.95%E -5.86%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 02:48 |
| GTbets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -2.46%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.34%E -2.92%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 02:51 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.6% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |