A Escola das Odds

Joao Fonseca v Raphael Collignon

Início: 2026-03-05 04:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Joao Fonseca (Local)

Previsão 56.84%1.76odd justa
EV +0.606%
Vantagem +0.342%
Kelly +0.787%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.05%56.52%56.99%58.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.691.681.7762.50%59.30%59.52%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Raphael Collignon (Visitante)

Previsão 43.16%2.32odd justa
EV -0.299%
Vantagem -0.129%
Kelly -0.228%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.77%43.48%43.01%46.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.142.132.3150.00%46.66%46.84%43.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +0.606%E +0.342%K +0.787%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 02:53
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV +0.037%E +0.021%K +0.049%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 02:30
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.531%E -0.303%K -0.708%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 02:55
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 02:10
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 02:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 02:10
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 02:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:55
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:55
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 02:55
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:45
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:44
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-05 02:44
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:40
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 02:52
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 02:10
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 02:45
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 02:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:10
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:10
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.299%E -0.129%K -0.228%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-05 02:50
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 02:55
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -11.09%E -5.38%K -10.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 02:45
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 02:45
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 02:50
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 02:50
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.62%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 02:55
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:39
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:45
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:40
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:54
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 02:54
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 02:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -11.95%E -5.86%K -11.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 02:45
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:55
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:40
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 02:48
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -2.46%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 02:50
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 02:45
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:40
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:45
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:54
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:55
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:55
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:55
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 02:55
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.34%E -2.92%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 02:50
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 02:40
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:51
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 02:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-03-05 02:55
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-03-05 02:55
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-03-05 02:55