La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Joao Fonseca v Raphael Collignon
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Joao Fonseca (Casa)
Previsione 56.84%1.76quota equa
EV +0.606%
Vantaggio +0.342%
Kelly +0.787%
Crescita +0.005%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.05%56.52%56.99%58.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.691.681.7762.50%59.30%59.52%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Raphael Collignon (Trasferta)
Previsione 43.16%2.32quota equa
EV -0.299%
Vantaggio -0.129%
Kelly -0.228%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.31
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.77%43.48%43.01%46.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.142.132.3150.00%46.66%46.84%43.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +0.606%E +0.342%K +0.787%G +0.005% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 02:53 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV +0.037%E +0.021%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.531%E -0.303%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.67%E -0.964%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Unibet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 02:52 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.299%E -0.129%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -11.09%E -5.38%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.62%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 02:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 02:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -11.95%E -5.86%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 02:48 |
| GTbets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -2.46%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.34%E -2.92%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 02:51 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.6% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |