Language:English
Dalibor Svrcina v James Duckworth
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dalibor Svrcina (Local)
Prediction 63.56%1.57fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -5.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.70%64.09%62.89%71.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.461.481.5374.63%68.39%67.34%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
James Duckworth (Visit)
Prediction 36.44%2.74fair odd
EV +22.80%
Edge +6.77%
Kelly +9.62%
Growth +2.19%
assuming max odds 3.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.45%35.91%37.11%38.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.652.553.3742.02%37.69%39.22%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalibor Svrcina (Local): 63.56%; James Duckworth (Visit): 36.44%. For James Duckworth (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -14.83%E -11.07%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +22.80%E +6.77%K +9.62%G +2.19% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 22:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV +11.87%E +3.87%K +5.73%G +0.680% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -14.83%E -11.07%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +11.14%E +3.65%K +5.43%G +0.605% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 22:11 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV +10.05%E +3.33%K +4.97%G +0.500% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 22:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -12.29%E -8.90%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 22:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -12.29%E -8.90%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 22:11 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +7.49%E +2.54%K +3.84%G +0.288% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +6.77%E +2.31%K +3.51%G +0.237% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 22:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +5.67%E +1.96%K +2.99%G +0.169% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 22:07 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV +5.67%E +1.96%K +2.99%G +0.169% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:12 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:07 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:07 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV +1.66%E +0.597%K +0.930%G +0.015% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.207%E +0.075%K +0.118%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 22:13 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.20%E -4.93%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 22:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -7.81%E -3.09%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -9.63%E -3.88%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -13.28%E -5.58%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 22:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |