La scuola delle quote

Dalibor Svrcina v James Duckworth

Inizio: 2026-03-04 23:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

54 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dalibor Svrcina (Casa)

Previsione 63.56%1.57quota equa
EV -2.75%
Vantaggio -1.80%
Kelly -5.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.70%64.09%62.89%71.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.341.461.481.5374.63%68.39%67.34%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

James Duckworth (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.44%2.74quota equa
EV +22.80%
Vantaggio +6.77%
Kelly +9.62%
Crescita +2.19%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.45%35.91%37.11%38.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.652.553.3742.02%37.69%39.22%29.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -14.83%E -11.07%K -43.61%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +22.80%E +6.77%K +9.62%G +2.19%4.3%2026-03-04 22:08
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV +11.87%E +3.87%K +5.73%G +0.680%3.0%2026-03-04 22:14
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -14.83%E -11.07%K -43.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +11.14%E +3.65%K +5.43%G +0.605%7.4%2026-03-04 22:11
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV +10.05%E +3.33%K +4.97%G +0.500%5.1%2026-03-04 22:05
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%4.8%2026-03-04 22:10
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%5.3%2026-03-04 22:08
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -12.29%E -8.90%K -32.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%5.8%2026-03-04 22:08
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -12.29%E -8.90%K -32.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%5.8%2026-03-04 22:11
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +7.49%E +2.54%K +3.84%G +0.288%5.3%2026-03-04 22:10
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +6.77%E +2.31%K +3.51%G +0.237%4.6%2026-03-04 22:09
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +5.67%E +1.96%K +2.99%G +0.169%5.9%2026-03-04 22:07
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV +5.67%E +1.96%K +2.99%G +0.169%6.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023%7.1%2026-03-04 22:12
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023%7.1%2026-03-04 22:07
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023%7.1%2026-03-04 22:07
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV +1.66%E +0.597%K +0.930%G +0.015%5.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.207%E +0.075%K +0.118%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:14
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 22:13
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 22:15
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 22:15
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.20%E -4.93%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:14
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 22:14
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -7.81%E -3.09%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 22:15
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -9.63%E -3.88%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 22:15
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 22:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 22:15
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -13.28%E -5.58%K -9.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 22:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-04 22:15
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%3.8%2026-03-04 22:15