L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Dalibor Svrcina v James Duckworth
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Dalibor Svrcina (Local)
Prévision 63.56%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -5.19%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.70%64.09%62.89%71.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.461.481.5374.63%68.39%67.34%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
James Duckworth (Visiteur)
Prévision 36.44%2.74cote équitable
EV +22.80%
Avantage +6.77%
Kelly +9.62%
Croissance +2.19%
avec la cote maximale 3.37
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.45%35.91%37.11%38.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.652.553.3742.02%37.69%39.22%29.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -14.83%E -11.07%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +22.80%E +6.77%K +9.62%G +2.19% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 22:08 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV +11.87%E +3.87%K +5.73%G +0.680% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 22:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -14.83%E -11.07%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +11.14%E +3.65%K +5.43%G +0.605% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 22:11 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV +10.05%E +3.33%K +4.97%G +0.500% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 22:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -12.29%E -8.90%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 22:08 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -12.29%E -8.90%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 22:11 |
| Bally Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +7.49%E +2.54%K +3.84%G +0.288% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +6.77%E +2.31%K +3.51%G +0.237% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 22:09 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +5.67%E +1.96%K +2.99%G +0.169% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 22:07 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV +5.67%E +1.96%K +2.99%G +0.169% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:12 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:07 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:07 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV +1.66%E +0.597%K +0.930%G +0.015% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.207%E +0.075%K +0.118%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 22:13 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| TAB | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.20%E -4.93%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Unibet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| betPARX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 22:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -7.81%E -3.09%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Caesars | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -9.63%E -3.88%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Fliff | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -13.28%E -5.58%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 22:14 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |