La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Dalibor Svrcina v James Duckworth
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dalibor Svrcina (Local)
Predicción 63.56%1.57momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -5.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.70%64.09%62.89%71.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.461.481.5374.63%68.39%67.34%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
James Duckworth (Visitante)
Predicción 36.44%2.74momio equitativo
EV +22.80%
Ventaja +6.77%
Kelly +9.62%
Crecimiento +2.19%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.45%35.91%37.11%38.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.652.553.3742.02%37.69%39.22%29.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -14.83%E -11.07%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +22.80%E +6.77%K +9.62%G +2.19% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 22:08 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV +11.87%E +3.87%K +5.73%G +0.680% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 22:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -14.83%E -11.07%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +11.14%E +3.65%K +5.43%G +0.605% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 22:11 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV +10.05%E +3.33%K +4.97%G +0.500% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 22:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -12.29%E -8.90%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 22:08 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -12.29%E -8.90%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 22:11 |
| Bally Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +7.49%E +2.54%K +3.84%G +0.288% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +6.77%E +2.31%K +3.51%G +0.237% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 22:09 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +5.67%E +1.96%K +2.99%G +0.169% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 22:07 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV +5.67%E +1.96%K +2.99%G +0.169% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:12 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:07 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:07 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV +1.66%E +0.597%K +0.930%G +0.015% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.207%E +0.075%K +0.118%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 22:13 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| TAB | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.20%E -4.93%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Unibet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| betPARX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 22:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -7.81%E -3.09%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Caesars | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -9.63%E -3.88%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Fliff | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -13.28%E -5.58%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 22:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |