Szkoła Kursów

Dalibor Svrcina v James Duckworth

Początek: 2026-03-04 23:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Dalibor Svrcina (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 63.56%1.57kurs godziwy
EV -2.75%
Przewaga -1.80%
Kelly -5.19%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.53

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
61.70%64.09%62.89%71.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.341.461.481.5374.63%68.39%67.34%65.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

James Duckworth (Goście)

Prognoza 36.44%2.74kurs godziwy
EV +22.80%
Przewaga +6.77%
Kelly +9.62%
Wzrost +2.19%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.37

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.45%35.91%37.11%38.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.382.652.553.3742.02%37.69%39.22%29.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -14.83%E -11.07%K -43.61%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +22.80%E +6.77%K +9.62%G +2.19%4.3%2026-03-04 22:08
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV +11.87%E +3.87%K +5.73%G +0.680%3.0%2026-03-04 22:14
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -14.83%E -11.07%K -43.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +11.14%E +3.65%K +5.43%G +0.605%7.4%2026-03-04 22:11
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV +10.05%E +3.33%K +4.97%G +0.500%5.1%2026-03-04 22:05
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%4.8%2026-03-04 22:10
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%5.3%2026-03-04 22:08
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -12.29%E -8.90%K -32.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%5.8%2026-03-04 22:08
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -12.29%E -8.90%K -32.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%5.8%2026-03-04 22:11
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +7.49%E +2.54%K +3.84%G +0.288%5.3%2026-03-04 22:10
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +6.77%E +2.31%K +3.51%G +0.237%4.6%2026-03-04 22:09
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +5.67%E +1.96%K +2.99%G +0.169%5.9%2026-03-04 22:07
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV +5.67%E +1.96%K +2.99%G +0.169%6.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023%7.1%2026-03-04 22:12
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023%7.1%2026-03-04 22:07
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023%7.1%2026-03-04 22:07
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV +1.66%E +0.597%K +0.930%G +0.015%5.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.207%E +0.075%K +0.118%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:14
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 22:13
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 22:15
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 22:15
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.20%E -4.93%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:14
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 22:14
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -7.81%E -3.09%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 22:15
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -9.63%E -3.88%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 22:15
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 22:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 22:15
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -13.28%E -5.58%K -9.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 22:14
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-04 22:15
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%3.8%2026-03-04 22:15