The School of Odds

Dalibor Svrcina v James Duckworth

Matchstart: 2026-03-04 23:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Dalibor Svrcina (Hemma)

Prognos 63.56%1.57rättvist odds
EV -2.75%
Fördel -1.80%
Kelly -5.19%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.53

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
61.70%64.09%62.89%71.55%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.341.461.481.5374.63%68.39%67.34%65.36%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

James Duckworth (Borta)

Prognos 36.44%2.74rättvist odds
EV +22.80%
Fördel +6.77%
Kelly +9.62%
Tillväxt +2.19%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.37

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.45%35.91%37.11%38.30%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.382.652.553.3742.02%37.69%39.22%29.67%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -14.83%E -11.07%K -43.61%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +22.80%E +6.77%K +9.62%G +2.19%4.3%2026-03-04 22:08
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV +11.87%E +3.87%K +5.73%G +0.680%3.0%2026-03-04 22:14
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -14.83%E -11.07%K -43.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +11.14%E +3.65%K +5.43%G +0.605%7.4%2026-03-04 22:11
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV +10.05%E +3.33%K +4.97%G +0.500%5.1%2026-03-04 22:05
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%4.8%2026-03-04 22:10
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%5.3%2026-03-04 22:08
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -12.29%E -8.90%K -32.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%5.8%2026-03-04 22:08
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -12.29%E -8.90%K -32.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%5.8%2026-03-04 22:11
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +7.49%E +2.54%K +3.84%G +0.288%5.3%2026-03-04 22:10
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +6.77%E +2.31%K +3.51%G +0.237%4.6%2026-03-04 22:09
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +5.67%E +1.96%K +2.99%G +0.169%5.9%2026-03-04 22:07
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV +5.67%E +1.96%K +2.99%G +0.169%6.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023%7.1%2026-03-04 22:12
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023%7.1%2026-03-04 22:07
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023%7.1%2026-03-04 22:07
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV +1.66%E +0.597%K +0.930%G +0.015%5.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.207%E +0.075%K +0.118%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:14
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 22:13
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 22:15
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 22:15
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.20%E -4.93%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:14
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 22:14
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -7.81%E -3.09%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 22:15
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -9.63%E -3.88%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 22:15
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 22:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 22:15
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -13.28%E -5.58%K -9.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 22:14
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-04 22:15
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%3.8%2026-03-04 22:15