مدرسة الاحتمالات

Dalibor Svrcina v James Duckworth

البداية: 2026-03-04 23:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Dalibor Svrcina (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.56%1.57السعر العادل
EV -2.75%
الأفضلية -1.80%
Kelly -5.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.70%64.09%62.89%71.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.341.461.481.5374.63%68.39%67.34%65.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

James Duckworth (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.44%2.74السعر العادل
EV +22.80%
الأفضلية +6.77%
Kelly +9.62%
النمو +2.19%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.45%35.91%37.11%38.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.382.652.553.3742.02%37.69%39.22%29.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -14.83%E -11.07%K -43.61%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +22.80%E +6.77%K +9.62%G +2.19%4.3%2026-03-04 22:08
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV +11.87%E +3.87%K +5.73%G +0.680%3.0%2026-03-04 22:14
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -14.83%E -11.07%K -43.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +11.14%E +3.65%K +5.43%G +0.605%7.4%2026-03-04 22:11
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV +10.05%E +3.33%K +4.97%G +0.500%5.1%2026-03-04 22:05
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%4.8%2026-03-04 22:10
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%5.3%2026-03-04 22:08
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -12.29%E -8.90%K -32.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%5.8%2026-03-04 22:08
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -12.29%E -8.90%K -32.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%5.8%2026-03-04 22:11
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +7.49%E +2.54%K +3.84%G +0.288%5.3%2026-03-04 22:10
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +6.77%E +2.31%K +3.51%G +0.237%4.6%2026-03-04 22:09
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +5.67%E +1.96%K +2.99%G +0.169%5.9%2026-03-04 22:07
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV +5.67%E +1.96%K +2.99%G +0.169%6.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023%7.1%2026-03-04 22:12
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023%7.1%2026-03-04 22:07
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023%7.1%2026-03-04 22:07
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV +1.66%E +0.597%K +0.930%G +0.015%5.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.207%E +0.075%K +0.118%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:14
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 22:13
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 22:15
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 22:15
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.20%E -4.93%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:14
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 22:14
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -7.81%E -3.09%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 22:15
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -9.63%E -3.88%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 22:15
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 22:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 22:15
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -13.28%E -5.58%K -9.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 22:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-04 22:15
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%3.8%2026-03-04 22:15