Школа коэффициентов

Dalibor Svrcina v James Duckworth

Начало: 2026-03-04 23:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

54 букмекерские конторы (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Dalibor Svrcina (Хозяева)

Прогноз 63.56%1.57справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.75%
Преимущество -1.80%
Kelly -5.19%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.53

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
61.70%64.09%62.89%71.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.341.461.481.5374.63%68.39%67.34%65.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

James Duckworth (Гости)

Прогноз 36.44%2.74справедливый коэффициент
EV +22.80%
Преимущество +6.77%
Kelly +9.62%
Рост +2.19%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.37

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.45%35.91%37.11%38.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.382.652.553.3742.02%37.69%39.22%29.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (54 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -14.83%E -11.07%K -43.61%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +22.80%E +6.77%K +9.62%G +2.19%4.3%2026-03-04 22:08
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV +11.87%E +3.87%K +5.73%G +0.680%3.0%2026-03-04 22:14
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -14.83%E -11.07%K -43.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +11.14%E +3.65%K +5.43%G +0.605%7.4%2026-03-04 22:11
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV +10.05%E +3.33%K +4.97%G +0.500%5.1%2026-03-04 22:05
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%4.8%2026-03-04 22:10
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%5.3%2026-03-04 22:08
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -12.29%E -8.90%K -32.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%5.8%2026-03-04 22:08
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -12.29%E -8.90%K -32.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +9.32%E +3.11%K +4.66%G +0.434%5.8%2026-03-04 22:11
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +7.49%E +2.54%K +3.84%G +0.288%5.3%2026-03-04 22:10
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +6.77%E +2.31%K +3.51%G +0.237%4.6%2026-03-04 22:09
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +5.67%E +1.96%K +2.99%G +0.169%5.9%2026-03-04 22:07
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV +5.67%E +1.96%K +2.99%G +0.169%6.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023%7.1%2026-03-04 22:12
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023%7.1%2026-03-04 22:07
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.01%E -7.87%K -27.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.03%E +0.725%K +1.13%G +0.023%7.1%2026-03-04 22:07
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV +1.66%E +0.597%K +0.930%G +0.015%5.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.207%E +0.075%K +0.118%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:14
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 22:13
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 22:15
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 22:15
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.20%E -4.93%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:14
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 22:14
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -7.81%E -3.09%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 22:15
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:15
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -9.63%E -3.88%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 22:15
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 22:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 22:15
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -13.28%E -5.58%K -9.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 22:14
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (4)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-04 22:15
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%3.8%2026-03-04 22:15