The School of Odds

Carlos Alcaraz v Daniil Medvedev

Matchstart: 2026-03-14 22:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Hemma)

Prognos 81.28%1.23rättvist odds
EV -1.65%
Fördel -1.36%
Kelly -7.84%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.21

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
78.13%81.19%81.17%83.57%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.131.171.181.2188.50%85.33%84.75%82.64%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Daniil Medvedev (Borta)

Prognos 18.72%5.34rättvist odds
EV +10.43%
Fördel +1.77%
Kelly +2.13%
Tillväxt +0.222%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.43%18.81%18.83%21.88%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.255.005.005.9023.53%19.99%20.00%16.95%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV +10.43%E +1.77%K +2.13%G +0.222%3.2%2026-03-14 22:25
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +7.62%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.122%3.6%2026-03-14 22:25
DraftKings1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +7.62%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.122%3.6%2026-03-14 22:20
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +3.88%E +0.699%K +0.852%G +0.033%3.5%2026-03-14 22:25
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019%2.9%2026-03-14 22:24
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019%5.9%2026-03-14 22:20
theScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019%5.9%2026-03-14 22:25
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.07%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003%6.2%2026-03-14 22:20
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.07%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003%6.2%2026-03-14 22:20
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -1.74%E -0.331%K -0.409%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 22:20
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.31%EV -2.46%E -2.05%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.69%EV -2.30%E -0.440%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-14 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -2.67%E -0.514%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 22:00
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.67%E -0.514%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:15
1xBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -2.86%E -0.551%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:25
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.54%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 22:15
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -8.15%E -7.21%K -62.69%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -5.48%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 22:20
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -8.15%E -7.21%K -62.69%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -5.48%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 22:25
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 22:15
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 22:15
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:17
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 21:58
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:00
Bet Right1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:20
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:10
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:15
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 22:09
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 22:00
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 22:00
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 22:25
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.29%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 22:20
Codere (IT)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -10.16%E -2.12%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 22:00
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 22:20
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 22:00
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.46%E -2.05%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 22:00
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 22:05
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 22:00
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 22:19
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -1.65%E -1.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 22:05
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -20.45%E -4.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 22:00
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -20.45%E -4.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 22:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-03-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-03-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-03-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-03-14 22:25
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%1.3%2026-03-14 22:25
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 81.93%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.07%3.4%2026-03-14 22:25