Idioma:Português
Carlos Alcaraz v Daniil Medvedev
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Previsão 81.28%1.23odd justa
EV -1.65%
Vantagem -1.36%
Kelly -7.84%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.21
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.13%81.19%81.17%83.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.131.171.181.2188.50%85.33%84.75%82.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)
Previsão 18.72%5.34odd justa
EV +10.43%
Vantagem +1.77%
Kelly +2.13%
Crescimento +0.222%
pressupondo odds máximas de 5.90
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.43%18.81%18.83%21.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.255.005.005.9023.53%19.99%20.00%16.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Carlos Alcaraz (Local): 81.28%; Daniil Medvedev (Visitante): 18.72%. Para Daniil Medvedev (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.34. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +10.43%.
Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV +10.43%E +1.77%K +2.13%G +0.222% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +7.62%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.122% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +7.62%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.122% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +3.88%E +0.699%K +0.852%G +0.033% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 22:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.07%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.07%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -1.74%E -0.331%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.31%EV -2.46%E -2.05%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.69%EV -2.30%E -0.440%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -2.67%E -0.514%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.67%E -0.514%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -2.86%E -0.551%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.54%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -8.15%E -7.21%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -5.48%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -8.15%E -7.21%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -5.48%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:17 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 21:58 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.29%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -10.16%E -2.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.46%E -2.05%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -1.65%E -1.36%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -20.45%E -4.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -20.45%E -4.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.93% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.07% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |