مدرسة الاحتمالات

Carlos Alcaraz v Daniil Medvedev

البداية: 2026-03-14 22:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (المضيف)

التنبؤ 81.28%1.23السعر العادل
EV -1.65%
الأفضلية -1.36%
Kelly -7.84%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
78.13%81.19%81.17%83.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.131.171.181.2188.50%85.33%84.75%82.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Daniil Medvedev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.72%5.34السعر العادل
EV +10.43%
الأفضلية +1.77%
Kelly +2.13%
النمو +0.222%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.43%18.81%18.83%21.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.255.005.005.9023.53%19.99%20.00%16.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV +10.43%E +1.77%K +2.13%G +0.222%3.2%2026-03-14 22:25
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +7.62%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.122%3.6%2026-03-14 22:25
DraftKings1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +7.62%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.122%3.6%2026-03-14 22:20
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +3.88%E +0.699%K +0.852%G +0.033%3.5%2026-03-14 22:25
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019%2.9%2026-03-14 22:24
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019%5.9%2026-03-14 22:20
theScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019%5.9%2026-03-14 22:25
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.07%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003%6.2%2026-03-14 22:20
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.07%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003%6.2%2026-03-14 22:20
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -1.74%E -0.331%K -0.409%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 22:20
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.31%EV -2.46%E -2.05%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.69%EV -2.30%E -0.440%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-14 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -2.67%E -0.514%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 22:00
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.67%E -0.514%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:15
1xBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -2.86%E -0.551%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:25
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.54%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 22:15
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -8.15%E -7.21%K -62.69%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -5.48%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 22:20
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -8.15%E -7.21%K -62.69%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -5.48%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 22:25
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 22:15
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 22:15
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:17
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 21:58
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:00
Bet Right1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:20
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:10
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:15
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 22:09
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 22:00
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 22:00
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 22:25
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.29%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 22:20
Codere (IT)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -10.16%E -2.12%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 22:00
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 22:20
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 22:00
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.46%E -2.05%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 22:00
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 22:05
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 22:00
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 22:19
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -1.65%E -1.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 22:05
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -20.45%E -4.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 22:00
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -20.45%E -4.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 22:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-03-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-03-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-03-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-03-14 22:25
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%1.3%2026-03-14 22:25
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 81.93%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.07%3.4%2026-03-14 22:25