L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Carlos Alcaraz v Daniil Medvedev
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Prévision 81.28%1.23cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -7.84%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.13%81.19%81.17%83.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.171.181.2188.50%85.33%84.75%82.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Daniil Medvedev (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.72%5.34cote équitable
EV +10.43%
Avantage +1.77%
Kelly +2.13%
Croissance +0.222%
avec la cote maximale 5.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.43%18.81%18.83%21.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.255.005.005.9023.53%19.99%20.00%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV +10.43%E +1.77%K +2.13%G +0.222% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +7.62%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.122% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +7.62%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.122% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| GTbets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +3.88%E +0.699%K +0.852%G +0.033% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 22:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.07%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Betsson | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.07%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -1.74%E -0.331%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.31%EV -2.46%E -2.05%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.69%EV -2.30%E -0.440%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -2.67%E -0.514%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.67%E -0.514%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -2.86%E -0.551%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.54%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -8.15%E -7.21%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -5.48%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Fliff | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -8.15%E -7.21%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -5.48%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:17 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Casumo | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 21:58 |
| betPARX | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:10 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| BetUS | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.29%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -10.16%E -2.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.46%E -2.05%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -1.65%E -1.36%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -20.45%E -4.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Neds | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -20.45%E -4.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Novig | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.93% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.07% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |