Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Carlos Alcaraz v Daniil Medvedev
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Carlos Alcaraz (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 81.28%1.23kurs godziwy
EV -1.65%
Przewaga -1.36%
Kelly -7.84%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.21
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
78.13%81.19%81.17%83.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.131.171.181.2188.50%85.33%84.75%82.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Daniil Medvedev (Goście)
Prognoza 18.72%5.34kurs godziwy
EV +10.43%
Przewaga +1.77%
Kelly +2.13%
Wzrost +0.222%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.90
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.43%18.81%18.83%21.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.255.005.005.9023.53%19.99%20.00%16.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV +10.43%E +1.77%K +2.13%G +0.222% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +7.62%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.122% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +7.62%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.122% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| GTbets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +3.88%E +0.699%K +0.852%G +0.033% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 22:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.07%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Betsson | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.07%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -1.74%E -0.331%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.31%EV -2.46%E -2.05%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.69%EV -2.30%E -0.440%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -2.67%E -0.514%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.67%E -0.514%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -2.86%E -0.551%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.54%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -8.15%E -7.21%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -5.48%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Fliff | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -8.15%E -7.21%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -5.48%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:17 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Casumo | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 21:58 |
| betPARX | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:10 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| BetUS | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.29%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -10.16%E -2.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.46%E -2.05%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -1.65%E -1.36%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -20.45%E -4.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Neds | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -20.45%E -4.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Novig | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.93% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.07% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |