La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Carlos Alcaraz v Daniil Medvedev
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Carlos Alcaraz (Casa)
Previsione 81.28%1.23quota equa
EV -1.65%
Vantaggio -1.36%
Kelly -7.84%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.21
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
78.13%81.19%81.17%83.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.131.171.181.2188.50%85.33%84.75%82.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Daniil Medvedev (Trasferta)
Previsione 18.72%5.34quota equa
EV +10.43%
Vantaggio +1.77%
Kelly +2.13%
Crescita +0.222%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.90
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.43%18.81%18.83%21.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.255.005.005.9023.53%19.99%20.00%16.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV +10.43%E +1.77%K +2.13%G +0.222% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +7.62%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.122% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +7.62%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.122% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| GTbets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +3.88%E +0.699%K +0.852%G +0.033% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 22:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.07%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Betsson | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.07%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -1.74%E -0.331%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.31%EV -2.46%E -2.05%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.69%EV -2.30%E -0.440%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -2.67%E -0.514%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.67%E -0.514%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -2.86%E -0.551%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.54%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -8.15%E -7.21%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -5.48%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Fliff | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -8.15%E -7.21%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -5.48%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:17 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Casumo | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 21:58 |
| betPARX | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:10 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| BetUS | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.29%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -10.16%E -2.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.46%E -2.05%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -1.65%E -1.36%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -20.45%E -4.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Neds | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -20.45%E -4.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Novig | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.93% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.07% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |