Школа коэффициентов

Carlos Alcaraz v Daniil Medvedev

Начало: 2026-03-14 22:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

61 букмекерская контора (23 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Хозяева)

Прогноз 81.28%1.23справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.65%
Преимущество -1.36%
Kelly -7.84%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.21

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
78.13%81.19%81.17%83.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.131.171.181.2188.50%85.33%84.75%82.64%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Daniil Medvedev (Гости)

Прогноз 18.72%5.34справедливый коэффициент
EV +10.43%
Преимущество +1.77%
Kelly +2.13%
Рост +0.222%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.43%18.81%18.83%21.88%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.255.005.005.9023.53%19.99%20.00%16.95%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (61 букмекерская контора)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV +10.43%E +1.77%K +2.13%G +0.222%3.2%2026-03-14 22:25
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +7.62%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.122%3.6%2026-03-14 22:25
DraftKings1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +7.62%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.122%3.6%2026-03-14 22:20
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +3.88%E +0.699%K +0.852%G +0.033%3.5%2026-03-14 22:25
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019%2.9%2026-03-14 22:24
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019%5.9%2026-03-14 22:20
theScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019%5.9%2026-03-14 22:25
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.07%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003%6.2%2026-03-14 22:20
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.07%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003%6.2%2026-03-14 22:20
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -1.74%E -0.331%K -0.409%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 22:20
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.31%EV -2.46%E -2.05%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.69%EV -2.30%E -0.440%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-14 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -2.67%E -0.514%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 22:00
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.67%E -0.514%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:15
1xBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -2.86%E -0.551%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:25
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.54%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 22:15
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -8.15%E -7.21%K -62.69%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -5.48%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 22:20
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -8.15%E -7.21%K -62.69%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -5.48%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 22:25
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 22:15
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 22:15
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:17
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 21:58
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:00
Bet Right1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:20
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:10
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:15
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 22:09
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 22:00
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 22:00
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 22:25
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.29%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 22:20
Codere (IT)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -10.16%E -2.12%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 22:00
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 22:20
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 22:00
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.46%E -2.05%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 22:00
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 22:05
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 22:00
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 22:19
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -1.65%E -1.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 22:05
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -20.45%E -4.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 22:00
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -20.45%E -4.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 22:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-03-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-03-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-03-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-03-14 22:25
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%1.3%2026-03-14 22:25
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 81.93%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.07%3.4%2026-03-14 22:25