Die Wettquotenschule

Carlos Alcaraz v Daniil Medvedev

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-14 22:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Heim)

Prognose 81.28%1.23faire Quote
EV -1.65%
Vorteil -1.36%
Kelly -7.84%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.21

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
78.13%81.19%81.17%83.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.131.171.181.2188.50%85.33%84.75%82.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Daniil Medvedev (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.72%5.34faire Quote
EV +10.43%
Vorteil +1.77%
Kelly +2.13%
Wachstum +0.222%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.43%18.81%18.83%21.88%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.255.005.005.9023.53%19.99%20.00%16.95%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV +10.43%E +1.77%K +2.13%G +0.222%3.2%2026-03-14 22:25
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +7.62%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.122%3.6%2026-03-14 22:25
DraftKings1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +7.62%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.122%3.6%2026-03-14 22:20
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +3.88%E +0.699%K +0.852%G +0.033%3.5%2026-03-14 22:25
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019%2.9%2026-03-14 22:24
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019%5.9%2026-03-14 22:20
theScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.94%E +0.535%K +0.654%G +0.019%5.9%2026-03-14 22:25
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.07%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003%6.2%2026-03-14 22:20
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.07%E +0.198%K +0.243%G +0.003%6.2%2026-03-14 22:20
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -1.74%E -0.331%K -0.409%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 22:20
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.31%EV -2.46%E -2.05%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.69%EV -2.30%E -0.440%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-14 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -2.67%E -0.514%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 22:00
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.67%E -0.514%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:15
1xBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -2.86%E -0.551%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:25
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.54%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 22:15
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -8.15%E -7.21%K -62.69%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -5.48%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 22:20
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -8.15%E -7.21%K -62.69%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -5.48%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 22:25
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 22:15
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 22:15
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:17
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 21:58
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 22:00
Bet Right1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:20
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:10
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:15
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 22:09
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 22:00
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 22:00
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.34%E -6.44%K -52.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.42%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 22:25
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.71%E -4.92%K -35.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.29%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 22:20
Codere (IT)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -10.16%E -2.12%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 22:00
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 22:20
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 22:00
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.46%E -2.05%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 22:00
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.90%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 22:05
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 22:00
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.90%E -4.19%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.77%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 22:19
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -1.65%E -1.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 22:05
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.09%E -3.46%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -17.65%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -20.45%E -4.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 22:00
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -3.27%E -2.75%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -20.45%E -4.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 22:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-03-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-03-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-03-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-03-14 22:25
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%1.3%2026-03-14 22:25
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 81.93%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.07%3.4%2026-03-14 22:25