預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Matteo Arnaldi v Raphael Collignon

開賽時間: 2026-05-30 14:55 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

62 家博彩公司 (22 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Matteo Arnaldi (主隊)

預測 32.53%3.07公平賠率
EV +0.846%
優勢 +0.273%
Kelly +0.403%
成長率 +0.003%

假設最高賠率為 3.10

博彩公司預測分布
29.86%32.62%32.53%35.37%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.652.872.873.1037.74%34.85%34.90%32.26%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Raphael Collignon (客隊)

預測 67.47%1.48公平賠率
EV -1.50%
優勢 -1.02%
Kelly -3.25%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.46

博彩公司預測分布
64.63%67.38%67.47%70.14%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.321.421.421.4675.76%70.45%70.42%68.49%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Matteo Arnaldi (主隊):32.53%;Raphael Collignon (客隊):67.47%。 對於「Matteo Arnaldi (主隊)」,該估計相當於3.07的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.10,對應+0.846%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (62 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:50
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.94%E -8.29%K -34.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -0.130%E -0.042%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 14:49
Pinnacle🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 14:49
FanDuel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.22%E -4.47%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 14:50
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.57%E -5.52%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 14:40
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 14:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.36%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Bet Right🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 14:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.31%E -2.19%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 14:50
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.64%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 14:50
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.96%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.47%K -15.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 14:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -7.94%E -2.80%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:48
DraftKings🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -8.26%E -2.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 14:50
GTbets🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.89%E -3.57%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.79%E -5.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 14:49
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Novig3.03I 33.00%NM 32.52%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.48%1.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%2.7%2026-05-30 14:50